Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 117.296298 133.385181 151.121003 172.163509 196.500755 223.825528 256.914866
2026-01-25 93.741393 114.630799 139.579620 171.730223 212.289640 262.053266 328.187226
2026-02-01 80.675033 103.873597 133.213577 173.358674 227.345070 298.116907 399.044619
2026-02-08 69.905882 93.740971 125.285372 170.569633 234.699987 323.452615 457.649334
2026-02-15 63.032081 87.545686 121.291842 171.818601 246.721688 355.522000 528.953208
2026-02-22 57.797205 82.813892 118.481518 173.939330 259.623668 389.699346 607.382811
2026-03-01 51.796783 76.226696 112.125783 169.801399 262.191071 408.002267 662.800963
2026-03-08 46.957208 70.810686 106.845360 166.511681 265.346220 427.089860 721.470533
2026-03-15 43.242363 66.714876 103.106694 165.105872 271.126259 450.753626 790.766141
2026-03-22 41.596001 65.677947 104.013495 171.255293 290.068653 498.732893 910.220488
2026-03-29 39.862069 64.310489 104.200002 176.106940 307.151564 545.284136 1033.661882
2026-04-05 37.191286 61.141085 101.069159 174.798910 312.891074 571.568182 1121.064497
2026-04-12 35.282934 59.322968 100.451322 178.632279 329.995127 624.225915 1276.838436
2026-04-19 32.828917 56.363811 97.611183 178.181216 339.125185 663.180887 1412.313541
2026-04-26 30.955507 54.243515 96.033271 179.877620 352.626101 712.848682 1580.913981
2026-05-03 28.663075 51.141792 92.332925 176.972269 356.262739 742.122852 1707.743846
2026-05-10 27.136216 49.316303 90.838624 178.273297 368.858423 792.685673 1896.004853
2026-05-17 25.856492 47.838452 89.856532 180.482518 383.664638 850.404450 2114.232782
2026-05-24 23.973084 45.029318 85.994847 176.172034 383.273446 872.471002 2243.049759
2026-05-31 22.357703 42.615463 82.709985 172.745462 384.459159 898.484762 2388.158499
2026-06-07 21.079440 40.773115 80.428231 171.281262 390.077829 936.348546 2575.214129
2026-06-14 20.636432 40.593368 81.581396 177.686504 415.623019 1029.337020 2946.875251
2026-06-21 20.089683 40.149885 82.127786 182.740700 438.501181 1119.127671 3330.968178